{"id":7738,"date":"2020-11-10T08:45:21","date_gmt":"2020-11-10T08:45:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.innovationnewsnetwork.com\/?p=7738"},"modified":"2020-11-10T08:45:21","modified_gmt":"2020-11-10T08:45:21","slug":"predicting-habitat-loss-in-2100","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.innovationnewsnetwork.com\/predicting-habitat-loss-in-2100\/7738\/","title":{"rendered":"Predicting habitat loss in 2100"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>A study by the University of Cambridge, UK, used hundreds of years of data to determine the scale of habitat loss in 2100.<\/h2>\n<p>In a paper, published in the journal <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-020-19455-9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><em>Nature Communications<\/em><\/a>, the team outlines its analysis of changes in the geographical range of 16,919 species from 1700 to the present day. The data were also used to predict future changes up to the year 2100 under 16 different climate and socio-economic scenarios.<\/p>\n<p>Dr Robert Beyer in the University of Cambridge\u2019s Department of Zoology, first author of the report, said: \u201cThe habitat size of almost all known birds, mammals and amphibians is shrinking, primarily because of land conversion by humans as we continue to expand our agricultural and urban areas.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>A diverse abundance of species underpin essential ecosystem functions from pest regulation to carbon storage. Some species are more heavily impacted than others. According to this study, 16% of species have lost over half their estimated natural historical range, a figure that could rise to 26% by the end of the century.<\/p>\n<p>Species\u2019 geographical ranges were found to have recently shrunk most significantly in tropical areas. Until around 50 years ago, most <a href=\"https:\/\/www.innovationnewsnetwork.com\/the-evolution-of-agricultural-technology\/6039\/\">agricultural development<\/a> was in Europe and North America. Since then, large areas of land have been converted for agriculture in the tropics: clearance of rainforest for oil palm plantations in South East Asia, and for pastureland in South America, for example.<\/p>\n<p>Beyer added: \u201cThe tropics are biodiversity hotspots with lots of small-range species. If one hectare of tropical forest is converted to agricultural land, a lot more species lose larger proportions of their home than in places like Europe.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSpecies in the Amazon have adapted to living in a tropical rainforest. If climate change causes this ecosystem to change, many of those species won\u2019t be able to survive \u2013 or they will at least be pushed into smaller areas of remaining rainforest.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The conversion of natural vegetation to agricultural and urban land and the transformation of suitable habitat caused by climate change are major causes of the decline in range sizes, and two of the most important threats to global terrestrial biodiversity.<\/p>\n<p>Professor Andrea Manica in the University of Cambridge\u2019s Department of Zoology, who led the study, said: \u201cWhile our study quantifies the drastic consequences for species\u2019 ranges if global land use and climate change are left unchecked, they also demonstrate the tremendous potential of timely and concerted policy action for halting \u2013 \u00a0and indeed partially reversing \u2013 \u00a0previous trends in global range contractions. It all depends on what we do next.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A study by the University of Cambridge, UK, used hundreds of years of data to determine the scale of habitat loss in 2100. In a paper, published in the journal Nature Communications, the team outlines its analysis of changes in the geographical range of 16,919 species from 1700 to the present day. The data were [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":7739,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24433,785],"tags":[587,745,689],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n<title>Predicting habitat loss in 2100 | Innovation News Network<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A study by the University of Cambridge, UK, used hundreds of years of data to determine the scale of habitat loss in 2100.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.innovationnewsnetwork.com\/predicting-habitat-loss-in-2100\/7738\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta 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